SANJA XXL R MODEL · FIRST CANDLE INTELLIGENCE

Trading Statistics

Understand the First Candle edge by time, weekday, month and trading day. Every number comes from the recorded first candle. No Day High or profit-target simulations.

13 half-hour windows · Actual trade outcomes · No speculative backtests

Analyze trade order within each day Select all trades, or compare only the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and later trades on each date. This is separate from the date filter.
Include first trades Off: exclude the earliest trade on each day from performance values. All records remain visible.
All recorded trading datesAll values in R · 2 decimals · Counts are whole trades
958 recorded trades over 188 dates. 188 first trades excluded in statistics.
Net First Candle-8.94Sum of included First Candle results
Average Positive Candle0.47Average First Candle above zero; negative and zero candles excluded
Positive Candle Rate67.27%Positive trades divided by all included trades
Trades Analyzed770Trades in the selected position / toggle setting
Trading Days132Dates included in the analysis
Average / Day-0.07Net First Candle per included date

First Candle quality

How gains and losses combine, not just how often candles finish positive.

Positive 518 Zero 0 Negative 252
Gross positive R243.06
Gross negative R-252.00
Avg positive candle0.47
Avg negative candle-1.00
Median trade0.16
Best candle5.86
Worst candle-1.00
Profit factor0.96

Daily consistency

Analyze the daily total across all recorded trades, not only individual win rates.

67Positive days
65Negative days
0Flat days
Positive-day rate50.76%
Avg daily total-0.07
Best day2026-07-15
Best day total4.84
Worst day2026-06-11
Worst day total-3.55

A positive daily total means the sum of that day’s First Candle results is above zero. This is different from having more positive trades than negative trades.

INTRADAY TIMING

Which 30-minute window performs best?

Exactly 13 non-overlapping windows, from 09:30 inclusive to 16:00 exclusive. Each trade is assigned by its recorded time.

Highest observed average per trade14:30-14:590.25R average · 69 trades on 59 dates
Lowest observed average per trade15:30-15:59-0.23R average · 58 trades on 52 dates
Most active window13:00-13:2989 trades

Rankings compare 13 windows containing trades, using the net First Candle average (positive and negative results). 13 meet the 15-trade / 5-date sample guideline. Low-sample rankings are exploratory, not a verified trading edge.

Average First Candle by entry time

Green = positive average, red = negative. Bars share one scale across the selected dates.

09:30-09:59
-0.09
10:00-10:29
0.12
10:30-10:59
-0.18
11:00-11:29
0.20
11:30-11:59
-0.10
12:00-12:29
-0.11
12:30-12:59
0.00
13:00-13:29
-0.02
13:30-13:59
-0.13
14:00-14:29
0.01
14:30-14:59
0.25
15:00-15:29
0.18
15:30-15:59
-0.23

Window-by-window scorecard

Average per trade corrects for uneven trading volume. Avg/day uses only days with trades in that window.

WindowTradesDaysNet RAvg/tradePositive %Avg/day
09:30-09:59 1616 -1.37-0.0962.50%-0.09
10:00-10:29 3937 4.540.1279.49%0.12
10:30-10:59 6758 -12.26-0.1859.70%-0.21
11:00-11:29 5142 10.230.2082.35%0.24
11:30-11:59 7065 -7.30-0.1061.43%-0.11
12:00-12:29 5353 -6.05-0.1164.15%-0.11
12:30-12:59 7367 -0.340.0064.38%-0.01
13:00-13:29 8976 -2.17-0.0264.04%-0.03
13:30-13:59 6556 -8.40-0.1360.00%-0.15
14:00-14:29 6456 0.470.0170.31%0.01
14:30-14:59 6959 17.170.2584.06%0.29
15:00-15:29 5653 9.930.1876.79%0.19
15:30-15:59 5852 -13.39-0.2350.00%-0.26

770 of 770 included trades fall within the session windows. 0 trade(s) outside 09:30-16:00 remain in overall, daily and monthly statistics but not in the time-window breakdown.

MARKET WEEK

Weekday performance

Compare net results, average/trade, positive rate and number of observations.

Monday -3.51First Candle net
Positive63.87%
Avg/trade-0.03
Trades119
Days23
Tuesday -2.00First Candle net
Positive67.74%
Avg/trade-0.02
Trades124
Days26
Wednesday -0.99First Candle net
Positive65.50%
Avg/trade-0.01
Trades171
Days29
Thursday 3.96First Candle net
Positive68.84%
Avg/trade0.02
Trades199
Days29
Friday -6.40First Candle net
Positive69.43%
Avg/trade-0.04
Trades157
Days25
WEEKDAY x ENTRY TIME

When do positive averages cluster?

Each cell shows the average First Candle for that weekday and half-hour window. Hover for the number of trades. Pale cells have fewer than five observations.

Day09:3010:0010:3011:0011:3012:0012:3013:0013:3014:0014:3015:0015:30
Mon 0.13-0.06-0.390.580.09-0.620.410.10-0.31-0.330.460.13-0.45
Tue -0.190.050.150.15-0.470.010.20-0.25-0.09-0.100.130.54-0.29
Wed -0.450.15-0.270.20-0.030.190.03-0.03-0.470.210.220.20-0.23
Thu 0.020.24-0.100.00-0.10-0.02-0.230.070.180.020.260.26-0.24
Fri -0.130.05-0.150.24-0.10-0.14-0.32-0.08-0.180.050.29-0.110.03

This grid reveals combinations of weekday and time, but small cells should not drive strategy decisions. Strong results in one small window can be noise.

MONTHLY TREND

Month-by-month First Candle

Each mini chart shows the total of all trades on each day. The line through the middle is zero; bar heights use each month’s actual scale.

2026-11

38 trades on 4 days · Avg positive candle 0.40

-4.30

2026-10

120 trades on 21 days · Avg positive candle 0.45

0.07

2026-09

121 trades on 21 days · Avg positive candle 0.51

-1.43

2026-08

55 trades on 11 days · Avg positive candle 0.46

-5.27

2026-07

85 trades on 12 days · Avg positive candle 0.46

8.71

2026-06

113 trades on 19 days · Avg positive candle 0.50

-1.87

2026-05

89 trades on 17 days · Avg positive candle 0.48

-6.33

2026-04

62 trades on 13 days · Avg positive candle 0.49

-0.85

2026-03

87 trades on 14 days · Avg positive candle 0.42

2.33

Monthly scorecard

Signed averages include wins, losses and zeros. Avg positive and avg negative show only those respective trade types.

MonthTradesDaysNet RAvg/tradePositive %Positive / NegativeAvg +Avg −Avg/day
2026-11384-4.30-0.1163.16%24 / 140.40-1.00-1.08
2026-10120210.070.0069.17%83 / 370.45-1.000.00
2026-0912121-1.43-0.0165.29%79 / 420.51-1.00-0.07
2026-085511-5.27-0.1061.82%34 / 210.46-1.00-0.48
2026-0785128.710.1075.29%64 / 210.46-1.000.73
2026-0611319-1.87-0.0265.49%74 / 390.50-1.00-0.10
2026-058917-6.33-0.0762.92%56 / 330.48-1.00-0.37
2026-046213-0.85-0.0166.13%41 / 210.49-1.00-0.07
2026-0387142.330.0372.41%63 / 240.42-1.000.17

Where in the month do results accumulate?

Net First Candle by calendar segments, from the same set of included trades.

MonthDays 1-15Days 16-endDays 1-10Days 11-20Days 21-end
2026-11 -4.30—-4.30——
2026-10 0.93-0.86-1.171.79-0.55
2026-09 -3.662.23-5.302.751.12
2026-08 -1.35-3.92—-6.721.45
2026-07 6.002.711.337.38—
2026-06 5.09-6.9611.25-8.66-4.46
2026-05 -8.842.51-1.77-8.654.09
2026-04 0.86-1.71—-3.502.65
2026-03 1.650.682.30-1.201.23
DAY-BY-DAY ACCOUNTABILITY

Daily First Candle totals

Every date is grouped across its trades. Negative days are red. Scroll for the entire selected period.

DateDayTradesNet First CandleAvg/tradePositiveNegativePositive %Best tradeWorst trade
2026-11-05Thu140.840.0610471.43%0.87-1.00
2026-11-04Wed61.040.175183.33%1.31-1.00
2026-11-03Tue6-3.16-0.532433.33%0.61-1.00
2026-11-02Mon12-3.02-0.257558.33%0.59-1.00
2026-10-30Fri52.340.4750100.00%0.870.06
2026-10-29Thu6-0.89-0.153350.00%1.08-1.00
2026-10-28Wed6-2.68-0.452433.33%0.82-1.00
2026-10-27Tue3-1.37-0.461233.33%0.63-1.00
2026-10-26Mon31.050.3530100.00%0.530.04
2026-10-23Fri60.110.025183.33%0.54-1.00
2026-10-22Thu91.680.197277.78%1.07-1.00
2026-10-21Wed5-0.79-0.163260.00%0.93-1.00
2026-10-20Tue3-0.41-0.142166.67%0.50-1.00
2026-10-19Mon5-0.46-0.093260.00%0.78-1.00
2026-10-16Fri70.560.086185.71%0.61-1.00
2026-10-15Thu102.850.298280.00%1.18-1.00
2026-10-14Wed7-2.20-0.314357.14%0.48-1.00
2026-10-13Tue61.450.245183.33%1.29-1.00
2026-10-09Fri6-0.92-0.154266.67%0.47-1.00
2026-10-08Thu90.290.035455.56%2.50-1.00
2026-10-07Wed3-1.77-0.591233.33%0.23-1.00
2026-10-06Tue40.370.0940100.00%0.170.05
2026-10-05Mon41.670.4240100.00%0.610.10
2026-10-02Fri50.390.084180.00%0.50-1.00
2026-10-01Thu8-1.20-0.154450.00%1.38-1.00
2026-09-30Wed51.940.394180.00%1.44-1.00
2026-09-29Tue70.050.016185.71%0.40-1.00
2026-09-28Mon3-1.29-0.431233.33%0.71-1.00
2026-09-25Fri5-1.85-0.373260.00%0.10-1.00
2026-09-24Thu6-0.57-0.104266.67%0.81-1.00
2026-09-23Wed6-2.77-0.462433.33%1.17-1.00
2026-09-22Tue22.791.4020100.00%2.500.29
2026-09-21Mon82.820.3580100.00%0.750.05
2026-09-18Fri9-0.70-0.085455.56%1.62-1.00
2026-09-17Thu6-2.06-0.343350.00%0.54-1.00
2026-09-16Wed73.870.554357.14%5.86-1.00
2026-09-15Tue71.820.265271.43%1.64-1.00
2026-09-14Mon61.420.244266.67%2.44-1.00
2026-09-11Fri7-1.60-0.234357.14%0.59-1.00
2026-09-10Thu71.130.166185.71%0.96-1.00
2026-09-09Wed8-1.34-0.175362.50%0.53-1.00
2026-09-08Tue3-1.64-0.551233.33%0.36-1.00
2026-09-04Fri4-0.41-0.103175.00%0.28-1.00
2026-09-03Thu60.060.015183.33%0.29-1.00
2026-09-02Wed6-1.88-0.313350.00%0.51-1.00
2026-09-01Tue3-1.22-0.411233.33%0.78-1.00
2026-08-31Mon61.370.233350.00%2.00-1.00
2026-08-28Fri7-0.47-0.075271.43%0.45-1.00
2026-08-27Thu5-0.43-0.094180.00%0.24-1.00
2026-08-21Fri50.980.204180.00%0.88-1.00
2026-08-20Thu2-2.00-1.00020.00%-1.00-1.00
2026-08-19Wed6-0.23-0.044266.67%1.13-1.00
2026-08-18Tue4-1.21-0.302250.00%0.48-1.00
2026-08-17Mon3-1.93-0.641233.33%0.07-1.00
2026-08-14Fri7-1.08-0.155271.43%0.50-1.00
2026-08-13Thu50.330.073260.00%1.64-1.00
2026-08-12Wed5-0.60-0.123260.00%1.24-1.00
2026-07-17Fri80.800.106275.00%1.00-1.00
2026-07-16Thu111.910.178372.73%1.14-1.00
2026-07-15Wed84.840.6180100.00%1.540.08
2026-07-14Tue50.640.134180.00%0.63-1.00
2026-07-13Mon10-0.81-0.087370.00%0.81-1.00
2026-07-10Fri30.990.3330100.00%0.620.07
2026-07-09Thu52.590.5250100.00%1.420.09
2026-07-08Wed8-0.85-0.115362.50%0.81-1.00
2026-07-07Tue7-0.21-0.035271.43%0.59-1.00
2026-07-06Mon3-3.00-1.00030.00%-1.00-1.00
2026-07-02Thu100.930.097370.00%1.71-1.00
2026-07-01Wed70.880.136185.71%0.50-1.00
2026-06-30Tue40.760.193175.00%0.63-1.00
2026-06-29Mon7-3.26-0.473442.86%0.38-1.00
2026-06-26Fri12-1.86-0.167558.33%1.07-1.00
2026-06-24Wed9-2.37-0.265455.56%0.62-1.00
2026-06-23Tue62.770.465183.33%1.60-1.00
2026-06-22Mon7-0.50-0.074357.14%0.95-1.00
2026-06-18Thu70.850.126185.71%0.52-1.00
2026-06-17Wed5-1.02-0.203260.00%0.46-1.00
2026-06-16Tue5-2.33-0.472340.00%0.56-1.00
2026-06-15Mon4-1.37-0.342250.00%0.58-1.00
2026-06-12Fri6-1.24-0.214266.67%0.38-1.00
2026-06-11Thu9-3.55-0.394544.44%0.60-1.00
2026-06-10Wed60.870.155183.33%0.59-1.00
2026-06-08Mon30.130.042166.67%0.64-1.00
2026-06-05Fri92.400.277277.78%1.35-1.00
2026-06-04Thu41.660.423175.00%1.00-1.00
2026-06-03Wed63.560.595183.33%2.21-1.00
2026-06-02Tue10.500.5010100.00%0.500.50
2026-06-01Mon32.130.7130100.00%1.940.06
2026-05-29Fri51.690.344180.00%1.39-1.00
2026-05-28Thu31.820.6130100.00%0.880.24
2026-05-27Wed90.830.096366.67%1.67-1.00
2026-05-26Tue5-1.36-0.273260.00%0.28-1.00
2026-05-22Fri50.150.034180.00%0.71-1.00
2026-05-21Thu70.960.145271.43%1.61-1.00
2026-05-20Wed5-1.58-0.322340.00%1.17-1.00
2026-05-15Fri7-2.31-0.333442.86%1.33-1.00
2026-05-14Thu4-1.20-0.302250.00%0.45-1.00
2026-05-13Wed30.130.042166.67%1.00-1.00
2026-05-12Tue6-2.82-0.472433.33%0.97-1.00
2026-05-11Mon5-0.87-0.172340.00%1.55-1.00
2026-05-08Fri40.680.173175.00%1.00-1.00
2026-05-07Thu5-0.51-0.104180.00%0.31-1.00
2026-05-06Wed4-2.69-0.671325.00%0.31-1.00
2026-05-05Tue60.470.085183.33%0.45-1.00
2026-05-04Mon60.280.055183.33%0.65-1.00
2026-04-30Thu51.580.324180.00%1.08-1.00
2026-04-29Wed91.870.217277.78%1.25-1.00
2026-04-28Tue4-0.13-0.033175.00%0.71-1.00
2026-04-27Mon11.851.8510100.00%1.851.85
2026-04-23Thu8-2.80-0.354450.00%0.50-1.00
2026-04-22Wed40.290.073175.00%0.70-1.00
2026-04-21Tue7-0.010.004357.14%1.79-1.00
2026-04-20Mon3-1.95-0.651233.33%0.05-1.00
2026-04-17Fri4-0.10-0.033175.00%0.56-1.00
2026-04-16Thu6-2.31-0.393350.00%0.33-1.00
2026-04-15Wed2-0.33-0.171150.00%0.67-1.00
2026-04-14Tue40.820.213175.00%1.00-1.00
2026-04-13Mon50.370.074180.00%0.71-1.00
2026-03-27Fri2-2.00-1.00020.00%-1.00-1.00
2026-03-26Thu102.090.218280.00%1.23-1.00
2026-03-25Wed60.980.165183.33%0.66-1.00
2026-03-24Tue5-1.30-0.263260.00%0.26-1.00
2026-03-23Mon61.460.244266.67%2.88-1.00
2026-03-20Fri8-2.94-0.374450.00%0.37-1.00
2026-03-19Thu71.280.186185.71%0.68-1.00
2026-03-18Wed40.280.073175.00%1.10-1.00
2026-03-17Tue50.430.094180.00%0.85-1.00
2026-03-16Mon60.400.074266.67%1.27-1.00
2026-03-13Fri11-0.010.008372.73%1.60-1.00
2026-03-12Thu5-1.37-0.273260.00%0.39-1.00
2026-03-11Wed60.730.125183.33%0.79-1.00
2026-03-10Tue62.300.3860100.00%0.670.10

Historical First Candle statistics describe the recorded sample, not the likelihood of future returns. No trading costs, slippage or intra-candle order assumptions are included.